PRG-16X DeliveryPhase 1-2-3

Data, Evaluation and Public Reporting

Neither government nor the community can currently verify what has changed, because baselines and disaggregated outturn data do not exist

Programme Logic

Problem

Neither government nor the community can currently verify what has changed, because baselines and disaggregated outturn data do not exist

Structural Cause

Programmes report activity, not outcomes; ethnic disaggregation is inconsistently published

Intervention

A baseline survey in Year 1, a public progress dashboard, a Data Protection Impact Assessment before any household record operates, an independent mid-term evaluation at end-Year 3, a final independent evaluation in Year 6, and annual Auditor-General audit

Who & How

Target Group

Programme monitoring and the public

Eligibility

n/a

Deliverables

Outputs

Baseline survey published; dashboard live; DPIA completed and published; mid-term and final evaluations published; annual audits tabled

Outcomes

Every KPI has a verified baseline and a published outturn series

Key Performance Indicators

KPI-16

Measurement integrity

source-verified

Proportion of the sixteen KPIs with a published verified baseline and a current published outturn

Baseline
0 of 16
Year 2
At least 12 of 16 KPIs with a published verified baseline; DPIA completed and published before any household record operates
Year 4
16 of 16 KPIs with published baselines and outturns; independent mid-term evaluation published
Year 6
16 of 16 maintained; independent final evaluation published
Owner: Prime Minister's Department
Verification: Published dashboard; National Audit Department; independent evaluators
Note: Eleven of the sixteen KPIs currently have NO baseline. Establishing baselines is therefore the principal Phase 1 deliverable of the whole plan, and this is stated openly rather than concealed behind targets.

Costing (Central Scenario)

Provisionalconfidence for this programme’s costing
Six-Year Total
RM 33.0m
New Funding
RM 21.4m
Existing
RM 3.3m
Reallocated
RM 8.3m

Where these figures come from

Why this figure?Provisional
Method
Evaluation model: baseline survey + dashboard + DPIA + independent evaluations + annual audit and reporting
Key inputs
RM 0Baseline survey RM6m and dashboard RM8m in Phase 1; DPIA RM1m in Phase 1; mid-term evaluation RM4m in Phase 2; final evaluation RM5m in Phase 3; annual audit and reporting RM1.5m per year
Population
Programme monitoring and public reporting (n/a)
Benchmark
Phase 1: baseline survey RM6.000m + dashboard RM8.000m + DPIA RM1.000m + annual audit/reporting RM1.500m x 2 = RM18.000m. Phase 2: mid-term evaluation RM4.000m + audit/reporting RM3.000m = RM7.000m. Phase 3: final evaluation RM5.000m + audit/reporting RM3.000m = RM8.000m. Total RM33.000m = 2.10% of the central portfolio, below the 3-5% commonly cited for programmes of this type (benchmark itself uncited - see residual limitation).
Funding split
existing 0.10 = National Audit Department capacity already funded; reallocated 0.25 = MITRA monitoring budget; new 0.65 = baseline survey, dashboard, DPIA and independent evaluations. ASSUMPTION pending DOSM agreement (VAL-24).
Source
Internal estimate — no external source cited.
Status
Planning assumption pending validation· pending validation (VAL-24)
Note
Phase 1: baseline survey RM6.000m + dashboard RM8.000m + DPIA RM1.000m + annual audit/reporting RM1.500m x 2 = RM18.000m. Phase 2: mid-term evaluation RM4.000m + audit/reporting RM3.000m = RM7.000m. Phase 3: final evaluation RM5.000m + audit/reporting RM3.000m = RM8.000m. Total RM33.000m = 2.10% of
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Delivery & Accountability

Lead Ministry

Prime Minister's Department

Accounting Officer

Chief Secretary to the Government

Supporting Agencies

DOSM; Ministry of Economy; National Audit Department; independent evaluators

Mandate Basis

Programme monitoring and evaluation for a Cabinet-established initiative sit with its secretariat

Risks & Safeguards

RSK-18

reputational

MajorModerate

Publishing disaggregated ethnic data on civil service composition, school condition or poverty produces adverse comparison and political friction

Safeguard

Publication is committed to in advance as a condition of the plan, so selective disclosure is not available; data are published in full national context rather than for one community alone; the reporting framework is described as a model extensible to any community