PRG-06P2 ProgressionPhase 1-2-3

TVET and STEM Progression Pipeline

Young people leave school into low-wage work with no structured route into skilled employment; training is not connected to employment outcomes

💡 Suggest an improvement

Programme Logic

Problem

Young people leave school into low-wage work with no structured route into skilled employment; training is not connected to employment outcomes

Structural Cause

Training is funded by seat rather than by outcome, with no retention or employment tracking and no stipend, so low-income trainees cannot afford to complete

Intervention

Training seats in existing accredited TVET and STEM institutions, a completion stipend, employer-linked apprenticeships, and mandatory tracking from intake through certification to twelve months of employment

Who & How

Target Group

Indian SPM leavers not proceeding to tertiary education

Eligibility

SPM completion; household income in the bottom 40%; commitment to the full programme including tracking

Deliverables

Outputs

Approximately 5,000 enrolees in Phase 1, 10,000 in Phase 2 and 15,000 in Phase 3 (30,000 cumulative); apprenticeship placements; a published tracking series

Outcomes

Higher certified completion and employment at or above the indexed wage threshold twelve months after certification

Key Performance Indicators

KPI-06

TVET certified completion and employment

to-be-established

Number of enrolees certified, and the proportion in employment at or above the indexed wage threshold twelve months after certification

Baseline

No dedicated pipeline exists

Year 2

Approximately 5,000 enrolees; completion rate published; tracking operational

Year 4

Approximately 15,000 cumulative enrolees; completion rate at least 80%

Year 6

Approximately 30,000 cumulative enrolees; at least 65% of certified graduates in employment at or above the indexed threshold twelve months after certification

Owner: Ministry of Human Resources

Verification: Training provider records; EPF and SOCSO contribution matching for employment verification

Note: The employment threshold is the prevailing national minimum wage plus 25%, restated and published annually. Doc A's RM2,672 threshold was a 2014 statistic and is rejected (CNF-023). Completion and employment targets are set below Doc A's 85% and 70% because those figures had no evidential basis.

Costing (Central Scenario)

Benchmarkedconfidence for this programme’s costing

Six-Year Total

RM 279.0m

New Funding

RM 111.6m

Existing

RM 125.6m

Reallocated

RM 41.9m

Where these figures come from

Why this figure?· RM 279.0m over 6 yearsBenchmarked

Method: Programme cost = enrolees x (stipend + programme support) + apprenticeship incentives
Key inputs: RM 8,500 — Per enrolee: completion stipend RM500 x 12 months = RM6,000, plus programme support RM2,500. Apprenticeship incentive RM4,000 per placement for 1,000 / 2,000 / 3,000 placements
Population: Indian SPM leavers not proceeding to tertiary education (5,000 enrolees in Phase 1, 10,000 in Phase 2, 15,000 in Phase 3 (30,000 cumulative))
Benchmark: Training seats themselves run on existing accredited TVET capacity and are counted in existing_share. Phase 1: 5,000 x 8,500 = RM42.5m + RM4.0m apprenticeships. Phase 2: 10,000 x 8,500 = RM85m + RM8m. Phase 3: 15,000 x 8,500 = RM127.5m + RM12m.
Funding split: existing 0.45 = accredited TVET seat funding and HRD Corp employer levy already committed; reallocated 0.15 = MITRA skills grants; new 0.40 = stipends and apprenticeship incentives, which no existing instrument funds. ASSUMPTION pending MOHR and HRD Corp confirmation (VAL-15).
Source: Minimum Wages Order 2024 (RM1,700 national monthly minimum wage) — Government of Malaysia / National Wages Consultative CouncilTier 1 view ↗Applies to the private sector; it is not a public-sector pay reference. Verified through multiple secondary compliance publications rather than by retrieving the gazette itself - the gazette should be cited directly in a formal submission.
Status: Benchmarked to a comparable programme or source· pending validation (VAL-15)
Note: Training seats themselves run on existing accredited TVET capacity and are counted in existing_share. Phase 1: 5,000 x 8,500 = RM42.5m + RM4.0m apprenticeships. Phase 2: 10,000 x 8,500 = RM85m + RM8m. Phase 3: 15,000 x 8,500 = RM127.5m + RM12m.

View full costing scenarios →

Delivery & Accountability

Lead Ministry

Ministry of Human Resources

Accounting Officer

Secretary-General Ministry of Human Resources

Supporting Agencies

Ministry of Higher Education; TVET institutions; Ministry of Education; employers and GLCs; HRD Corp

Mandate Basis

TVET coordination, skills development and employer engagement are within the Ministry of Human Resources mandate

Risks & Safeguards

RSK-05

fiscal

Critical→ High

Existing-funding assumptions prove wrong - in particular the assumed 55% existing-funding share for SJKT works - and the true incremental requirement is materially higher than RM820 million

Safeguard

Every existing-funding share is declared in COSTING_ASSUMPTIONS.csv and flagged as provisional; MOE confirmation of the SJKT share of the national dilapidated-schools programme is a gating validation item (VAL-11); the model is rebuilt from assumptions by script so any correction reprices the whole portfolio in one step